Taking Off Into Sustained, Equitable Growth:Lessons From Successes And Failures
by BERRY.A,Monograph. Centre for Poverty Employment and Growth, HSRC.
Berry offers an extensive set of case studies of economies that achieved sustained high growth. Chapter 1 discusses issues surrounding growth acceleration and current challenge for underperforming developing countries and the empirical record: evidence from countries that have accelerated to high sustained growth. Chapter 2 discusses the experience of Singapore and development strategy/policy prior to…
read more >>Employment and Economic Growth: Employment Elasticities in Thailand, Brazil, Chile and Argentina
by PLEIC, M. and BERRY, A., 2009Research Report. Centre for Poverty Employment and Growth, Human Sciences Research Council
In order to judge how much better a country could do in terms of job creation, it is important to have a benchmark for comparison. The experience of other countries and the recipes for their success are a key input into effective policy design. Case studies of such countries are valuable because they provide evidence…
read more >>Thoughts on Employment Typologies
by BERRY, A. , 2007Research Report, Employment Growth & Development Initiative, Human Sciences Research Council
Mineral (and other natural resource) exports promote development and employment, as long as the rents are used wisely and undesirable macroeconomic effects are avoided. However, many countries have failed to achieve this. Mineral rents are often wasted, either through corruption and theft or through inefficiencies and rent-seeking by private and public agents. Too often the…
read more >>Editorial – Special Issue: Industrial growth and employment in South Africa.
by SIMKINS, C., 2008Research Report. Centre for Poverty Employment and Growth, Human Sciences Research Council
Simkins offers population projections from 2007 to 2024 for the Human Sciences Research Council Employment Scenarios. He uses the SPECTRUM model by population group, gender and age group, based on:· The population composition reported by the Community Survey 2007· Fertility as estimated by the Community Survey 2007·Mortality as determined by background mortality and the effect of…
read more >>Mining Employment Scenarios for South Africa to 2024
by BAARTJES, N., AUCHTERLONIE, A., SORENSEN, P. & GOODE, R., 2007Research Report, Employment Growth & Development Initiative, Human Sciences Research Council
Baartjes et al investigate the employment potential of the South African mining industry. They assess mining investment on a commodity-specific basis, the drivers of mining employment, how these relate to investment, and whether significant technological changes (greater mechanisation) would be widely adopted. This is followed by a discussion of employment, incomes and occupational skills levels,…
read more >>Identifying employment creating sectors in South Africa
by ALTMAN, M., 2005Research Report, Employment Growth & Development Initiative, Human Sciences Research Council
Will Government’s current policy priorities and plans in relation to the formal services sector guide the economy towards its 2014 target of halving unemployment? Net new employment has mainly been found in formal and non-formal services. Given the structure of the SA economy, it is most probable that future employment will also be sourced from…
read more >>2030 Horizon Scanning in South Africa: Domestic Economy
by ALTMAN, M., 2007Human Sciences Research Council report, presented at the DFID/Human Sciences Research Council Horizon Scanning in South Africa workshop, October 2007
Unemployment and poverty are among the central uncertainties facing the South African economy. Creating market-based jobs is the most sustainable way of addressing these problems. The Human Sciences Research Council generated scenarios for job creation to 2024, based on GDP growth rates of 3%, 4.5% and 6%. It projects that if the economy grew by…
read more >>Setting Targets for Unemployment Reduction and Employment Creation
by ALTMAN, M., 2006Human Sciences Research Council report prepared for the EGDI Employment Scenarios reference Group Session, November 2006
“Altman translates ‘halving unemployment’ into concrete targets for unemployment and employment. Reducing unemployment and expanding employment do not necessarily involve the same policy complements. Reducing unemployment depends not only on job creation, but also on the pace of labour force growth. Therefore targets are needed for growing employment and reducing unemployment. This discussion paper outlines…
read more >>Elements of Employment Scenario-Building: do Sources of Job Creation Matter? (Three different versions Oct 06, Nov 06 and Jan 07)
by ALTMAN, M., 2006Research Report, Employment Growth & Development Initiative, Human Sciences Research Council
“This paper was the initial version of the HSRC Employment Scenarios. Altman starts by proposing 4 categories of job creating sectors: those that focus on poverty alleviation (such as special employment projects), the public service, “follower” services (generally low paid non-traded activity such as retail) and “dynamic” goods and services industries that are traded (such…
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