Impact of the turndown - 2008

The Socio-Economic Impact of the Global Downturn on South Africa: Responses and Policy Implications

by NGANDU, S, ALTMAN, M, CROSS, C, JACOBS, P, HART, T & MATSHE, I, 2010
Research Report. Economic Performance & Development, Human Sciences Research Council. Prepared for Oxfam South Africa November 2010

By the end of 2008, the South African economy had begun to experience the impact of the world recession which had arisen out of the international financial crisis. At that time, the scope and scale of the impacts were uncertain, making it difficult to mount official responses. This study on SA by Ngandu et al…

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Emerging Markets and the Global Recession

by HAWKINS, T., 2009
Research Report. Centre for Poverty Employment and Growth, Human Sciences Research Council

This paper was prepared as part of a series on the economic and employment impacts on SA of the 2008 global financial crisis. Hawkins discusses the historical experience of financial crises, whether local or global. He then considers the impact on emerging markets, and particularly in relation to national and corporate strategies.

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The Impact of the Crisis on Semi-Industrialised Countries

by WILLIAMSON, J., 2009
Research Report. Centre for Poverty Employment and Growth, Human Sciences Research Council

Williamson considers the channels through which the global financial crisis affects the real economy. There are two basic mechanisms through which a recession can be transmitted to a country from abroad. One is through trade or some other form of current account receipts. The second is through the financial markets. Other forms of transmission are…

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International Policy Response of Developing Countries to the Global Economic Crisis

by JOFFE, H. & GENESIS ANALYTICS, 2009
Research Report. Centre for Poverty Employment and Growth, Human Sciences Research Council

“The impact of the 2008 financial crisis on emerging markets like South Africa has been quite different from its impact on developed economies, and so too have been the responses to the crisis. This paper presents an overview of the policy responses employed to counter the effects of the crisis in Brazil, Malaysia, Mexico and…

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The Socio-Economic Impact Of The Global Downturn On South Africa: Responses And Policy Implications

by NGANDU,S.,ALTMAN,M.,CROSS,C.,JACOBS,P.,HART,T.& MATSHE,I., 2010
Human Sciences Research Council report prepared for Oxfam South Africa November 2010

By the end of 2008, the South African economy had begun to experience the impact of the international financial crisis. This report was prepared for Oxfam to review the range of people’s experiences and government responses. Although the macroeconomic impact of the crisis in South Africa by the time of writing was not as severe…

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Employment Scenarios to 2014 & 2024 in the Context of a Global Meltdown

by ALTMAN, M, 2009
Research Report. Centre for Poverty Employment and Growth, Human Sciences Research Council

The 2007 Human Sciences Research Council employment scenarios are updated in this paper, taking into account the possible impact of the global economic crisis on employment and poverty. Altman puts forward three employment scenarios, projecting economic growth rates averaging 2.5% (L-shaped recovery), 3.3% (U-shaped recovery) and 4.5% (V-shaped recovery) between 2004 and 2014. They all…

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The Implications of the Global Economic Crisis for Industrial Sectors in South Africa

by JHAVERI, Y., MALHERBE, S., AND ROBB, G., 2009
Research Report. Centre for Poverty Employment and Growth, Human Sciences Research Council

Throughout 2008 it seemed that the effects of the growing global financial crisis were largely passing South Africa by. By comparison with many developed countries, its financial sector and to a large extent its economy remained strong. However, from the start of 2009, the second-round effects began to affect the economy, through substantially reduced international…

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The Potential Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on South Africa

by MOOLA, N & GORDON, S., 2009
Research Report. Centre for Poverty Employment and Growth, Human Sciences Research Council

The 2008 economic and financial crisis was more global than any financial turmoil during the past 60 years. Even though most emerging markets still have relatively healthy banking systems, they felt the effect of the global credit crisis far more acutely than they would have in the past. This paper was prepared as part of…

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