Mining Employment Scenarios for South Africa to 2024by BAARTJES, N., AUCHTERLONIE, A., SORENSEN, P. & GOODE, R., 2007
Research Report, Employment Growth & Development Initiative, Human Sciences Research Council
Baartjes et al investigate the employment potential of the South African mining industry. They assess mining investment on a commodity-specific basis, the drivers of mining employment, how these relate to investment, and whether significant technological changes (greater mechanisation) would be widely adopted. This is followed by a discussion of employment, incomes and occupational skills levels, which would be determined by these drivers. Finally, the paper reviews inter-sectoral linkages between mining and upstream suppliers, as well as side-stream (equipment, services and consumables) and downstream industries. Scenarios were considered for two periods – 7 years to 2014 and 27 years to 2024.