2030 Horizon Scanning in South Africa: Domestic Economy

Unemployment and poverty are among the central uncertainties facing the South African economy. Creating market-based jobs is the most sustainable way of addressing these problems. The Human Sciences Research Council generated scenarios for job creation to 2024, based on GDP growth rates of 3%, 4.5% and 6%. It projects that if the economy grew by…


Dynamic and Follower Sectors

Altman and Ngandu consider the role of different kinds of sectors’ contribution to growth and employment. Historically, goods production and exports have been a central focus of employment strategies. However, a growing majority of employment created globally is found in services, which are often considered to be non-traded sectors. This raises concerns for policy that…