South African Mining Sector Employment: Forecast To 2025by BAARTJES, N., 2011
Research report, Centre for Poverty Employment and Growth, Human Sciences Research Council, Pretoria
Baartjes focuses on trends in mining employment in South Africa, per sector, and includes a long-term forecast. He provides a profile of employment in the sector from 1995 to 2010, and discusses input shocks (e.g. electricity supply) and the commodity boom. He then reviews the primary mining sectors – gold, platinum group metals, coal, diamonds, iron ore and manganese, and chrome. This is followed by a discussion of the drivers of labour demand and a forecast for the period 2012–2025 for the gold, platinum, coal and diamond mining sectors. The conclusion is that employment in the mining sector is likely to continue declining for the foreseeable future.