Monday, May 20, 2019

Editorial – Special Issue: Industrial growth and employment in South Africa.

Research Report. Centre for Poverty Employment and Growth, Human Sciences Research Council

Simkins offers population projections from 2007 to 2024 for the Human Sciences Research Council Employment Scenarios. He uses the SPECTRUM model by population group, gender and age group, based on:· The population composition reported by the Community Survey 2007· Fertility as estimated by the Community Survey 2007·Mortality as determined by background mortality and the effect of AIDS ·International migration. The projection yielded estimates of the population by population group, gender and age group for each year between 2007 and 2024. Particular attention has been paid to projections for 2014 and 2024.Labour force participation rates were also tabulated by population group, gender and age group, based on the September Labour Force Surveys from 2000 to 2006 and projections to 2024. Again, particular attention was paid to projections for 2014 and 2024. Both broad and narrow labour force definitions were considered. An estimate of labour supply to 2024 is also given, obtained by multiplying labour force participation rates by the population.

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